Language:English
Philadelphia Union v Santos Laguna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union (Local)
Prediction 51.75%1.93fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.28%51.97%51.54%55.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.741.8760.61%56.65%57.47%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santos Laguna (Visit)
Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV +8.25%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.36%
Growth +0.195%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%23.78%24.07%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.934.004.5028.57%25.44%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.20%4.13fair odd
EV -0.784%
Edge -0.191%
Kelly -0.253%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.68%24.25%24.39%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.883.904.1029.41%25.75%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Union (Local): 51.75%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 24.06%; Draw: 24.20%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -12.55%E -7.43%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.195% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -13.07%E -7.78%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV +3.44%E +0.800%K +1.04%G +0.036% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 22:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 22:52 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -13.59%E -8.13%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-13 22:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -14.62%E -8.86%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.59%E -8.13%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-13 22:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.59%E -8.13%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -3.75%E -2.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:48 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.96%E -5.73%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -11.00%E -6.39%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.41%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.96%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.64%EV -6.59%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.79%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.95%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -7.14%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 22:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.95%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -7.14%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 22:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -5.82%E -3.20%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.83%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -5.82%E -3.20%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.83%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -7.89%E -4.43%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.73%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -14.60%E -4.11%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.80%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 58.32% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 18.48% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 23.20% | -8.3% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 22:50 |