Idioma:Español
Philadelphia Union v Santos Laguna
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Union (Local)
Predicción 51.75%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -3.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.28%51.97%51.54%55.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.771.741.8760.61%56.65%57.47%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Santos Laguna (Visitante)
Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV +8.25%
Ventaja +1.83%
Kelly +2.36%
Crecimiento +0.195%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.63%23.78%24.07%25.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.934.004.5028.57%25.44%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.20%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.784%
Ventaja -0.191%
Kelly -0.253%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.68%24.25%24.39%26.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.883.904.1029.41%25.75%25.64%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Union (Local): 51.75%; Santos Laguna (Visitante): 24.06%; Empate: 24.20%. Para Santos Laguna (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.16. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.25%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -12.55%E -7.43%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.195% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -13.07%E -7.78%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV +3.44%E +0.800%K +1.04%G +0.036% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-13 22:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-13 22:52 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -13.59%E -8.13%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-13 22:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -14.62%E -8.86%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.59%E -8.13%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-13 22:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.59%E -8.13%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -3.75%E -2.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:48 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.96%E -5.73%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -11.00%E -6.39%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.41%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.96%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.64%EV -6.59%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.79%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.95%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -7.14%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 22:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.95%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -7.14%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-13 22:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -5.82%E -3.20%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.83%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -5.82%E -3.20%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.83%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -7.89%E -4.43%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-13 22:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.73%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -14.60%E -4.11%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.80%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 58.32% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 18.48% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 23.20% | -8.3% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-08-13 22:50 |