Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Union v Santos Laguna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-13 23:00 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Union 0–2 Santos Laguna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Union (Local)

Prévision 51.75%1.93cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -3.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.28%51.97%51.54%55.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.771.741.8760.61%56.65%57.47%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.06%4.16cote équitable
EV +8.25%
Avantage +1.83%
Kelly +2.36%
Croissance +0.195%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.63%23.78%24.07%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.934.004.5028.57%25.44%25.00%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.20%4.13cote équitable
EV -0.784%
Avantage -0.191%
Kelly -0.253%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.68%24.25%24.39%26.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.883.904.1029.41%25.75%25.64%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Union (Local) : 51.75% ; Santos Laguna (Visiteur) : 24.06% ; Match nul : 24.20%. Pour Santos Laguna (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.16. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +8.25%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -12.55%E -7.43%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.25%E +1.83%K +2.36%G +0.195%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -13.07%E -7.78%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV +3.44%E +0.800%K +1.04%G +0.036%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-13 22:33
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 22:52
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -13.59%E -8.13%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 22:52
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -14.62%E -8.86%K -22.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-13 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.59%E -8.13%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-13 22:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -13.59%E -8.13%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV +1.03%E +0.246%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.46%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-13 22:49
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -3.75%E -2.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 22:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:48
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.96%E -5.73%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 22:49
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -11.00%E -6.39%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -0.784%E -0.191%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 22:49
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.41%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.96%EV -4.50%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.64%EV -6.59%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 22:55
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.79%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.20%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 22:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.95%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -7.14%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 22:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.95%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -7.14%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -5.38%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 22:50
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 22:48
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -5.82%E -3.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.83%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:44
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -5.82%E -3.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.83%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 22:44
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 22:44
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-13 22:54
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -8.41%E -4.75%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -4.27%E -2.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.25%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.26%EV -7.89%E -4.43%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -5.62%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-13 22:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 22:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -13.40%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.72%E -5.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -9.96%E -5.73%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -14.60%E -4.11%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -8.04%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-13 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.80%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.88%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-13 22:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 58.32%5.90I 16.95%NM 18.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 23.20%-8.3%2026-08-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-08-13 22:50