Language:English
Minnesota United FC v FC Juárez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC (Local)
Prediction 54.06%1.85fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.58%53.89%54.09%55.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.701.8159.88%58.39%58.82%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Juárez (Visit)
Prediction 21.71%4.61fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.662%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.76%21.71%21.69%23.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.354.404.5025.64%23.00%22.73%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.23%4.13fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.606%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.46%24.41%24.22%25.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.833.904.0528.57%26.13%25.64%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota United FC (Local): 54.06%; FC Juárez (Visit): 21.71%; Draw: 24.23%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.05, with an expected value of -1.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -2.16%E -1.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -10.57%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -2.16%E -1.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -10.57%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.08%EV -3.24%E -1.81%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -12.09%E -2.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -1.85%E -0.456%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.21%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.76%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.891%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.29%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 23:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.29%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -9.92%E -2.39%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
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