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Minnesota United FC v FC Juárez

2026-08-05 00:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota United FC (Local)

Prediction 54.21%1.84fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -6.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%53.99%54.21%54.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.721.731.7559.17%58.04%57.80%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Juárez (Visit)

Prediction 21.22%4.71fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -1.000%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.31%21.19%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.354.404.5025.00%23.01%22.73%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.434%
Kelly -0.579%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.88%24.70%24.60%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.754.0029.41%26.94%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota United FC (Local): 54.21%; FC Juárez (Visit): 21.22%; Draw: 24.57%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -1.74%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -5.13%E -2.93%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:35
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -1.74%E -0.434%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 16:34
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -5.67%E -3.26%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.58%EV -8.32%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 18:35
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 18:33
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:09
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:10
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:09
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:10
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:09
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:15
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:15
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:14
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:14
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:15
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.21%E -3.59%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:14
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 16:34
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.76%E -3.93%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 18:49
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.30%E -4.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 16:34
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 16:35
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 17:29
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -7.84%E -4.61%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 18:44
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.93%EV -8.38%E -4.96%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 53.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%11.3%2026-08-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-02 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-02 20:10