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Minnesota United FC v FC Juárez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota United FC (Local)
Predicción 54.06%1.85momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.58%53.89%54.09%55.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.711.701.8159.88%58.39%58.82%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Juárez (Visitante)
Predicción 21.71%4.61momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -0.662%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.76%21.71%21.69%23.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.354.404.5025.64%23.00%22.73%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.23%4.13momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.456%
Kelly -0.606%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.46%24.41%24.22%25.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.833.904.0528.57%26.13%25.64%24.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota United FC (Local): 54.06%; FC Juárez (Visitante): 21.71%; Empate: 24.23%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.13. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.05, con un valor esperado de -1.85%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -2.16%E -1.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -10.57%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -2.16%E -1.19%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -10.57%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.08%EV -3.24%E -1.81%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -12.09%E -2.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -1.85%E -0.456%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.21%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.76%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.891%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.29%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 23:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-04 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.29%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -9.92%E -2.39%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |