默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota United FC v FC Juárez

开赛时间: 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC

最终结果: Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Juárez

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota United FC (主队)

预测 54.06%1.85公平赔率
EV -2.16%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -2.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.81

博彩公司预测分布
52.58%53.89%54.09%55.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.711.701.8159.88%58.39%58.82%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Juárez (客队)

预测 21.71%4.61公平赔率
EV -2.32%
优势 -0.515%
Kelly -0.662%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.76%21.71%21.69%23.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.354.404.5025.64%23.00%22.73%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.23%4.13公平赔率
EV -1.85%
优势 -0.456%
Kelly -0.606%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.05

博彩公司预测分布
23.46%24.41%24.22%25.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.833.904.0528.57%26.13%25.64%24.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Minnesota United FC (主队):54.06%;FC Juárez (客队):21.71%;平局:24.23%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.13。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.05,期望值为-1.85%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -2.16%E -1.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -10.57%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -2.16%E -1.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -10.57%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:20
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.08%EV -3.24%E -1.81%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -12.09%E -2.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -1.85%E -0.456%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.21%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:35
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.76%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.891%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 23:34
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 23:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.29%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 23:03
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 00:20
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 00:19
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 00:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-04 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.29%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -9.92%E -2.39%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 23:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 22:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 23:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-08-05 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-08-05 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-08-05 00:25
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.83%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%2.5%2026-08-05 00:15