Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota United FC v FC Juárez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-05 00:30 UTC

Score final : Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Juárez

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota United FC (Local)

Prévision 54.06%1.85cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.58%53.89%54.09%55.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.711.701.8159.88%58.39%58.82%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Juárez (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.71%4.61cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.515%
Kelly -0.662%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.76%21.71%21.69%23.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.354.404.5025.64%23.00%22.73%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.23%4.13cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -0.456%
Kelly -0.606%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.46%24.41%24.22%25.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.833.904.0528.57%26.13%25.64%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Minnesota United FC (Local) : 54.06% ; FC Juárez (Visiteur) : 21.71% ; Match nul : 24.23%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.13. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.05, pour une espérance de -1.85% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -2.16%E -1.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -10.57%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -2.16%E -1.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -10.57%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 00:20
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.08%EV -3.24%E -1.81%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -12.09%E -2.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -1.85%E -0.456%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.21%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:35
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -4.32%E -2.44%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.76%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV -3.54%E -0.891%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 23:34
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 23:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -5.40%E -3.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -7.74%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -7.02%E -4.08%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.29%EV -7.56%E -4.42%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -6.66%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 23:03
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 00:20
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.10%E -4.77%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -3.06%E -0.765%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 00:19
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.32%E -0.515%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 00:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -8.64%E -5.11%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.34%E -3.93%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-04 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.01%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.29%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.85%EV -9.92%E -2.39%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 23:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 22:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -9.72%E -5.82%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -13.17%E -3.29%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.18%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-04 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-08-05 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-08-05 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-08-05 00:25
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.83%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%2.5%2026-08-05 00:15