Language:English
León v América
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
León (Local)
Prediction 29.49%3.39fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.501%
Kelly +0.705%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.52%29.49%29.45%30.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.173.203.4533.90%31.50%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América (Visit)
Prediction 44.67%2.24fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.52%44.70%44.68%46.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.082.1650.00%48.31%48.08%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.84%3.87fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.453%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%25.81%25.87%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.8230.30%27.93%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: León (Local): 29.49%; América (Visit): 44.67%; Draw: 25.84%. For León (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +1.73%E +0.501%K +0.705%G +0.012% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.32%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -6.19%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 21:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.61%EV -0.926%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.13%EV -4.85%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.50%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -7.98%E -3.87%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.09%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -1.79%E -0.472%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 21:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.96%E -1.84%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 21:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-06 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 21:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 21:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |