L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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León v América

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 22:00 UTC

Score final : León 1–0 América

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

León (Local)

Prévision 29.49%3.39cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.501%
Kelly +0.705%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.52%29.49%29.45%30.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.173.203.4533.90%31.50%31.25%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

América (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.67%2.24cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.52%44.70%44.68%46.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.072.082.1650.00%48.31%48.08%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.84%3.87cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.334%
Kelly -0.453%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%25.81%25.87%26.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.603.8230.30%27.93%27.78%26.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : León (Local) : 29.49% ; América (Visiteur) : 44.67% ; Match nul : 25.84%. Pour León (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.39. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.45, soit une espérance positive de +1.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +1.73%E +0.501%K +0.705%G +0.012%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.32%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -6.19%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:50
Pinnacle🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.61%EV -0.926%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.13%EV -4.85%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 21:55
ReBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.50%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 21:40
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -7.98%E -3.87%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:35
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.09%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 21:50
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -1.79%E -0.472%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 21:09
Caesars🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.96%E -1.84%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 21:43
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 21:45
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 21:40
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 21:40
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 21:40
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 21:49
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 21:55
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 21:40
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:55
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 21:45
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:35
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:35
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 21:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 21:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 21:45
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-06 21:55