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StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)
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León v América

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: León 1–0 América

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

León (Hemma)

Prognos 29.49%3.39rättvist odds
EV +1.73%
Fördel +0.501%
Kelly +0.705%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.52%29.49%29.45%30.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.953.173.203.4533.90%31.50%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

América (Borta)

Prognos 44.67%2.24rättvist odds
EV -3.51%
Fördel -1.63%
Kelly -3.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.52%44.70%44.68%46.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.072.082.1650.00%48.31%48.08%46.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.84%3.87rättvist odds
EV -1.28%
Fördel -0.334%
Kelly -0.453%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.73%25.81%25.87%26.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.583.603.8230.30%27.93%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: León (Hemma): 29.49%; América (Borta): 44.67%; Oavgjort: 25.84%. För León (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.39. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.45, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.73%.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +1.73%E +0.501%K +0.705%G +0.012%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.32%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -6.19%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:50
Pinnacle🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.61%EV -0.926%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.13%EV -4.85%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 21:55
ReBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.50%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 21:40
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -7.98%E -3.87%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:35
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.09%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 21:50
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -1.79%E -0.472%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 21:09
Caesars🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.96%E -1.84%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 21:43
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 21:45
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 21:40
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 21:40
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 21:40
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 21:49
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 21:55
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 21:40
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:55
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 21:45
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:35
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:35
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 21:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 21:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 21:45
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-06 21:55