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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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León v América

Início: 2026-09-06 22:00 UTC

Final: León 1–0 América

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

León (Local)

Previsão 29.49%3.39odd justa
EV +1.73%
Vantagem +0.501%
Kelly +0.705%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.52%29.49%29.45%30.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.173.203.4533.90%31.50%31.25%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

América (Visitante)

Previsão 44.67%2.24odd justa
EV -3.51%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.52%44.70%44.68%46.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.072.082.1650.00%48.31%48.08%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.84%3.87odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.334%
Kelly -0.453%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.73%25.81%25.87%26.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.583.603.8230.30%27.93%27.78%26.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: León (Local): 29.49%; América (Visitante): 44.67%; Empate: 25.84%. Para León (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.39. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.73%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV +1.73%E +0.501%K +0.705%G +0.012%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.32%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -6.19%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 21:50
Pinnacle🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.61%EV -0.926%E -0.276%K -0.393%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.13%EV -4.85%E -2.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 21:55
ReBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.50%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.52%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.23%EV -3.87%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.82%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.28%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 21:40
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:35
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.09%E -3.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -7.98%E -3.87%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:35
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.09%E -0.823%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 21:50
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -1.79%E -0.472%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 21:09
Caesars🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.96%E -1.84%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 21:43
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 21:45
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.64%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 21:40
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 21:40
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.12%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 21:40
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 21:49
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.19%E -2.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 21:55
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 21:40
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:55
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.59%E -2.77%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 21:45
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:35
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.54%E -3.85%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.72%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 21:35
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -8.43%E -4.11%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 21:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.02%E -4.41%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -10.66%E -5.33%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 21:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.59%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-09-06 21:45
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-06 21:55