Language:English
FC Cincinnati v Pumas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati (Local)
Prediction 50.38%1.99fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.643%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%50.21%50.34%53.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.871.871.9659.17%53.46%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pumas (Visit)
Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV +2.31%
Edge +0.615%
Kelly +0.838%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.26%27.27%27.25%28.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.303.7531.25%29.72%30.30%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.34%4.48fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.433%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.45%22.52%22.41%24.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.043.954.4126.32%24.78%25.32%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Cincinnati (Local): 50.38%; Pumas (Visit): 27.28%; Draw: 22.34%. For Pumas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.24%EV -10.33%E -5.80%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV +2.31%E +0.615%K +0.838%G +0.019% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.49%EV -1.48%E -0.335%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -3.78%E -1.98%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -11.84%E -6.77%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 00:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -12.85%E -7.43%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 00:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -4.28%E -2.25%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -11.34%E -6.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -1.26%E -0.643%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -1.26%E -0.643%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.11%EV -13.35%E -7.76%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 00:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -2.27%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -3.78%E -1.98%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.98%EV -14.86%E -8.79%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.09%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |