Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Cincinnati v Pumas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 00:27 UTC

Score final : FC Cincinnati 2–0 Pumas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Prévision 50.38%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.643%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.75%50.21%50.34%53.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.691.871.871.9659.17%53.46%53.48%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pumas (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.28%3.67cote équitable
EV +2.31%
Avantage +0.615%
Kelly +0.838%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.26%27.27%27.25%28.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.373.303.7531.25%29.72%30.30%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.34%4.48cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.335%
Kelly -0.433%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.45%22.52%22.41%24.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.043.954.4126.32%24.78%25.32%22.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Cincinnati (Local) : 50.38% ; Pumas (Visiteur) : 27.28% ; Match nul : 22.34%. Pour Pumas (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.67. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +2.31%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.24%EV -10.33%E -5.80%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV +2.31%E +0.615%K +0.838%G +0.019%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.49%EV -1.48%E -0.335%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 00:20
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -3.78%E -1.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -11.84%E -6.77%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 00:19
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -12.85%E -7.43%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 00:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 00:13
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:20
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:19
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -4.28%E -2.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:20
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 00:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -11.34%E -6.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 00:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -1.26%E -0.643%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -1.26%E -0.643%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 00:15
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 00:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 00:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.11%EV -13.35%E -7.76%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 00:25
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:24
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:25
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -2.27%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 00:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -3.78%E -1.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 23:25
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 50.98%EV -14.86%E -8.79%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.09%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-08 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%2.4%2026-08-08 00:25
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-08-08 00:25