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FC Cincinnati v Pumas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Cincinnati (Local)
Predicción 50.38%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.643%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.75%50.21%50.34%53.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.871.871.9659.17%53.46%53.48%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pumas (Visitante)
Predicción 27.28%3.67momio equitativo
EV +2.31%
Ventaja +0.615%
Kelly +0.838%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.26%27.27%27.25%28.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.373.303.7531.25%29.72%30.30%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.34%4.48momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.335%
Kelly -0.433%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.45%22.52%22.41%24.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.043.954.4126.32%24.78%25.32%22.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Cincinnati (Local): 50.38%; Pumas (Visitante): 27.28%; Empate: 22.34%. Para Pumas (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.67. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.31%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.24%EV -10.33%E -5.80%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV +2.31%E +0.615%K +0.838%G +0.019% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.49%EV -1.48%E -0.335%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -3.78%E -1.98%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 00:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -11.84%E -6.77%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 00:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -12.85%E -7.43%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 00:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -4.28%E -2.25%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -11.34%E -6.44%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -1.26%E -0.643%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -1.26%E -0.643%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.11%EV -13.35%E -7.76%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 00:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -2.27%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -3.78%E -1.98%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.98%EV -14.86%E -8.79%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.09%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19% | 2.4% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |