Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Cincinnati v Pumas

Início: 2026-08-08 00:27 UTC

Final: FC Cincinnati 2–0 Pumas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Previsão 50.38%1.99odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.643%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.75%50.21%50.34%53.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.871.871.9659.17%53.46%53.48%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pumas (Visitante)

Previsão 27.28%3.67odd justa
EV +2.31%
Vantagem +0.615%
Kelly +0.838%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.26%27.27%27.25%28.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.373.303.7531.25%29.72%30.30%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.34%4.48odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -0.335%
Kelly -0.433%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.45%22.52%22.41%24.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.043.954.4126.32%24.78%25.32%22.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Cincinnati (Local): 50.38%; Pumas (Visitante): 27.28%; Empate: 22.34%. Para Pumas (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.67. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.31%.

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.24%EV -10.33%E -5.80%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV +2.31%E +0.615%K +0.838%G +0.019%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.49%EV -1.48%E -0.335%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 00:20
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -3.78%E -1.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -11.84%E -6.77%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 00:19
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -12.85%E -7.43%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 00:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 00:13
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:20
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:19
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -4.28%E -2.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:20
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 00:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -11.34%E -6.44%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 00:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -1.26%E -0.643%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -1.26%E -0.643%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 00:15
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -7.81%E -4.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 00:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 00:15
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.11%EV -13.35%E -7.76%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -11.75%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 00:25
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:24
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -1.76%E -0.905%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 00:25
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -2.27%E -1.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 00:25
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -6.80%E -3.68%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 00:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -3.78%E -1.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 23:25
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 50.98%EV -14.86%E -8.79%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.93%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.09%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-08 00:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%1.3%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%2.4%2026-08-08 00:25
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-08-08 00:25