语言:简体中文
Cruz Azul v Philadelphia Union
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cruz Azul (主队)
预测 42.47%2.35公平赔率
EV +3.19%
优势 +1.31%
Kelly +2.23%
增长率 +0.071%
假设最高赔率为 2.43
博彩公司预测分布
39.58%42.29%42.51%45.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.232.202.4350.00%44.85%45.45%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Philadelphia Union (客队)
预测 31.69%3.16公平赔率
EV +0.783%
优势 +0.246%
Kelly +0.359%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 3.18
博彩公司预测分布
29.90%31.88%31.54%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.862.853.1837.04%34.91%35.09%31.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.84%3.87公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.269%
Kelly -0.365%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.83
博彩公司预测分布
24.79%25.83%25.95%26.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.583.603.8330.30%27.90%27.78%26.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cruz Azul (主队)：42.47%；Philadelphia Union (客队)：31.69%；平局：25.84%。 对于“Cruz Azul (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.35。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.43，对应+3.19%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +3.19%E +1.31%K +2.23%G +0.071% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +3.19%E +1.31%K +2.23%G +0.071% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV +1.07%E +0.450%K +0.776%G +0.008% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -1.05%E -0.451%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.10%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.32%EV -5.72%E -2.58%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.02%E -0.987%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.24%EV -1.55%E -0.406%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.64%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.64%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -5.56%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -5.56%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-07 00:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-07 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-06 23:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.97%E -4.70%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.90%EV +0.783%E +0.246%K +0.359%G +0.003% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.82%EV -1.03%E -0.269%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-06 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.85%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -13.44%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -15.07%E -7.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -14.43%E -5.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.76% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 00:02 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |