StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cruz Azul v Philadelphia Union

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-07 00:10 UTC

Endstand: Cruz Azul 1–0 Philadelphia Union

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cruz Azul (Heim)

Prognose 42.47%2.35faire Quote
EV +3.19%
Vorteil +1.31%
Kelly +2.23%
Wachstum +0.071%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.58%42.29%42.51%45.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.232.202.4350.00%44.85%45.45%41.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Union (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.69%3.16faire Quote
EV +0.783%
Vorteil +0.246%
Kelly +0.359%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.90%31.88%31.54%34.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.702.862.853.1837.04%34.91%35.09%31.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.84%3.87faire Quote
EV -1.03%
Vorteil -0.269%
Kelly -0.365%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.83

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.79%25.83%25.95%26.90%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.583.603.8330.30%27.90%27.78%26.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Cruz Azul (Heim): 42.47%; Philadelphia Union (Auswärts): 31.69%; Unentschieden: 25.84%. Für Cruz Azul (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.35. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.43 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.19%.

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +3.19%E +1.31%K +2.23%G +0.071%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 00:06
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +3.19%E +1.31%K +2.23%G +0.071%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 00:06
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV +1.07%E +0.450%K +0.776%G +0.008%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 00:06
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -1.05%E -0.451%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 00:05
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 00:05
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.10%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:50
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 00:05
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.32%EV -5.72%E -2.58%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.02%E -0.987%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.24%EV -1.55%E -0.406%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.64%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.64%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 23:50
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 23:40
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -5.56%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 23:50
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -5.56%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 23:50
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 00:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 23:40
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 00:05
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 00:03
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-07 00:04
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-06 23:41
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.97%E -4.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 23:55
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.90%EV +0.783%E +0.246%K +0.359%G +0.003%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.82%EV -1.03%E -0.269%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:59
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 00:05
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-06 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.85%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 23:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -13.44%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-07 00:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -15.07%E -7.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -14.43%E -5.34%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-07 00:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%2.9%2026-08-07 00:02
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-08-07 00:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-08-07 00:06