Langue:Français
Cruz Azul v Philadelphia Union
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cruz Azul (Local)
Prévision 42.47%2.35cote équitable
EV +3.19%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +2.23%
Croissance +0.071%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.58%42.29%42.51%45.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.232.202.4350.00%44.85%45.45%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Philadelphia Union (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.69%3.16cote équitable
EV +0.783%
Avantage +0.246%
Kelly +0.359%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 3.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.90%31.88%31.54%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.862.853.1837.04%34.91%35.09%31.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.84%3.87cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.269%
Kelly -0.365%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.79%25.83%25.95%26.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.603.8330.30%27.90%27.78%26.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cruz Azul (Local) : 42.47% ; Philadelphia Union (Visiteur) : 31.69% ; Match nul : 25.84%. Pour Cruz Azul (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.35. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.43, soit une espérance positive de +3.19%.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +3.19%E +1.31%K +2.23%G +0.071% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +3.19%E +1.31%K +2.23%G +0.071% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV +1.07%E +0.450%K +0.776%G +0.008% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -1.05%E -0.451%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.10%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.32%EV -5.72%E -2.58%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.02%E -0.987%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.24%EV -1.55%E -0.406%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.64%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.64%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -5.56%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -5.56%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-07 00:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-07 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-06 23:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.97%E -4.70%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-06 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.90%EV +0.783%E +0.246%K +0.359%G +0.003% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.82%EV -1.03%E -0.269%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 23:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-06 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.85%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -13.44%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -15.07%E -7.53%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -14.43%E -5.34%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.76% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 00:02 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.1% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |