StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cruz Azul v Philadelphia Union

Matchstart: 2026-08-07 00:10 UTC

Slutresultat: Cruz Azul 1–0 Philadelphia Union

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cruz Azul (Hemma)

Prognos 42.47%2.35rättvist odds
EV +3.19%
Fördel +1.31%
Kelly +2.23%
Tillväxt +0.071%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.58%42.29%42.51%45.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.232.202.4350.00%44.85%45.45%41.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Union (Borta)

Prognos 31.69%3.16rättvist odds
EV +0.783%
Fördel +0.246%
Kelly +0.359%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.90%31.88%31.54%34.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.862.853.1837.04%34.91%35.09%31.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.84%3.87rättvist odds
EV -1.03%
Fördel -0.269%
Kelly -0.365%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.79%25.83%25.95%26.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.583.603.8330.30%27.90%27.78%26.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cruz Azul (Hemma): 42.47%; Philadelphia Union (Borta): 31.69%; Oavgjort: 25.84%. För Cruz Azul (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.35. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.43, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.19%.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +3.19%E +1.31%K +2.23%G +0.071%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 00:06
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +3.19%E +1.31%K +2.23%G +0.071%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 00:06
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV +1.07%E +0.450%K +0.776%G +0.008%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 00:06
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -0.203%E -0.086%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -1.05%E -0.451%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 00:05
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 00:05
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.10%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:50
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 00:05
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.32%EV -5.72%E -2.58%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.02%E -0.987%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.24%EV -1.55%E -0.406%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.64%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.64%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 23:50
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.68%E -3.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 23:40
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -5.56%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 23:50
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.79%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.30%EV -5.56%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 23:50
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.81%E -0.476%K -0.645%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 00:05
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 23:40
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 00:05
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 00:03
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-07 00:04
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.84%E -4.67%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-06 23:41
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.97%E -4.70%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.51%E -2.21%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 23:55
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.90%EV +0.783%E +0.246%K +0.359%G +0.003%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.82%EV -1.03%E -0.269%K -0.365%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 23:59
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 00:05
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-06 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -8.09%E -2.79%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.85%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 23:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.72%E -3.03%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.73%E -4.46%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -11.26%E -4.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -13.44%E -4.01%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-07 00:05
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%EV -15.07%E -7.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -14.43%E -5.34%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%EV -12.14%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-07 00:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-07 00:05
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%2.9%2026-08-07 00:02
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-08-07 00:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-08-07 00:06