Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

América v San Diego FC

2026-08-07 02:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

59%

18%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

América (Local)

Prediction 59.46%1.68fair odd

EV -4.86%

Edge -3.04%

Kelly -8.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.16%59.24%59.47%59.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.561.571.6065.36%64.10%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego FC (Visit)

Prediction 18.07%5.53fair odd

EV -4.59%

Edge -0.869%

Kelly -1.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

17.52%18.04%18.02%18.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.905.125.155.2820.41%19.54%19.42%18.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.46%4.45fair odd

EV -3.40%

Edge -0.791%

Kelly -1.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.19%22.72%22.51%24.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.703.984.054.3027.03%25.12%24.69%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: América (Local): 59.46%; San Diego FC (Visit): 18.07%; Draw: 22.46%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -3.40%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.64%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.09%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV -5.13%E -0.977%K -1.21%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.40%E -0.791%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-02 16:35
theScore Bet	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -5.13%E -0.977%K -1.21%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-02 16:34
NordicBet	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.15I 19.42%NM 18.18%EV -6.94%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -6.77%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.26%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.42%G +0.000%	5.15I 19.42%NM 18.18%EV -6.94%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.56%EV -6.77%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-02 16:34
FanDuel	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -6.03%E -1.16%K -1.44%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.65%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-02 16:34
1xBet	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%	5.28I 18.94%NM 17.65%EV -4.59%E -0.869%K -1.07%G +0.000%	4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -9.02%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-02 19:10
Dabble (AU)	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -5.13%E -0.977%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -13.51%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-02 19:54
SportsBet	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -7.84%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-02 16:35
ReBet	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.52%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -11.45%E -2.34%K -2.94%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -11.27%E -2.85%K -3.82%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-08-02 16:35
888sport (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.02%E -5.89%K -17.02%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -16.88%E -4.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.02%E -5.89%K -17.02%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -16.88%E -4.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-08-02 17:29
William Hill	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.02%E -5.89%K -17.02%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -16.88%E -4.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-08-02 17:35
888sport	1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.02%E -5.89%K -17.02%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -9.65%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -16.88%E -4.56%K -6.25%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-08-02 18:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.