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América v San Diego FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 68.28%1.46fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -7.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.90%68.23%68.44%70.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.371.371.4278.74%73.07%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego FC (Visit)
Prediction 12.83%7.79fair odd
EV +9.10%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.110%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.00%12.96%12.66%14.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.956.508.5016.67%14.38%15.38%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.89%5.30fair odd
EV +3.87%
Edge +0.703%
Kelly +0.860%
Growth +0.033%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.31%18.81%18.90%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.844.755.5022.73%20.67%21.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 68.28%; San Diego FC (Visit): 12.83%; Draw: 18.89%. For San Diego FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +9.10%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.110% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.36%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 8.19I 12.21%NM 11.69%EV +5.12%E +0.625%K +0.712%G +0.036% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.95%EV -4.63%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.66%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 8.13I 12.30%NM 11.65%EV +4.35%E +0.535%K +0.610%G +0.027% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.69%EV -4.25%E -0.839%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +2.68%E +0.335%K +0.383%G +0.010% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -2.46%E -0.323%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 01:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -2.46%E -0.323%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 01:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.05%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.52%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +3.87%E +0.703%K +0.860%G +0.033% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 01:28 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 01:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 02:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -6.31%E -0.864%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV +0.091%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 01:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -6.31%E -0.864%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV +0.091%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.49%EV -13.28%E -10.46%K -49.20%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.61%EV -11.44%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.91%EV -13.13%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.75%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 01:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 01:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -19.78%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -13.13%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -22.99%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 01:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.32% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.70% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.28% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.09% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 02:02 |
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