Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

América v San Diego FC

Inizio: 2026-08-07 02:12 UTC

Finale: América 3–1 San Diego FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

América (Casa)

Previsione 68.28%1.46quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -2.14%
Kelly -7.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.90%68.23%68.44%70.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.371.371.4278.74%73.07%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

San Diego FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.83%7.79quota equa
EV +9.10%
Vantaggio +1.07%
Kelly +1.21%
Crescita +0.110%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.00%12.96%12.66%14.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.956.508.5016.67%14.38%15.38%11.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 18.89%5.30quota equa
EV +3.87%
Vantaggio +0.703%
Kelly +0.860%
Crescita +0.033%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.31%18.81%18.90%20.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.844.755.5022.73%20.67%21.05%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: América (Casa): 68.28%; San Diego FC (Trasferta): 12.83%; Pareggio: 18.89%. Per San Diego FC (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 7.79. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 8.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.10%.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +9.10%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.110%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 02:04
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.36%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.69%EV +5.12%E +0.625%K +0.712%G +0.036%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.95%EV -4.63%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 01:59
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.66%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.65%EV +4.35%E +0.535%K +0.610%G +0.027%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.69%EV -4.25%E -0.839%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 01:59
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +2.68%E +0.335%K +0.383%G +0.010%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -2.46%E -0.323%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 01:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -2.46%E -0.323%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 01:25
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.05%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.52%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +3.87%E +0.703%K +0.860%G +0.033%5.0%2026-08-07 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 02:00
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 01:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 02:04
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 02:00
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -6.31%E -0.864%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV +0.091%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 01:55
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -6.31%E -0.864%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV +0.091%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 01:35
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.49%EV -13.28%E -10.46%K -49.20%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.61%EV -11.44%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.91%EV -13.13%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-07 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.75%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 02:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 01:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 01:50
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -19.78%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -13.13%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 02:05
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -22.99%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 01:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.32%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-08-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.70%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87%1.8%2026-08-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.28%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.09%2.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%3.5%2026-08-07 02:02