Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América v San Diego FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 02:12 UTC

Score final : América 3–1 San Diego FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América (Local)

Prévision 68.28%1.46cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -7.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.90%68.23%68.44%70.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.371.371.4278.74%73.07%72.99%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Diego FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.83%7.79cote équitable
EV +9.10%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.21%
Croissance +0.110%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.00%12.96%12.66%14.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.006.956.508.5016.67%14.38%15.38%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.89%5.30cote équitable
EV +3.87%
Avantage +0.703%
Kelly +0.860%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.31%18.81%18.90%20.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.844.755.5022.73%20.67%21.05%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América (Local) : 68.28% ; San Diego FC (Visiteur) : 12.83% ; Match nul : 18.89%. Pour San Diego FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.79. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +9.10%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +9.10%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.110%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 02:04
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.36%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.69%EV +5.12%E +0.625%K +0.712%G +0.036%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.95%EV -4.63%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 01:59
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.66%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.65%EV +4.35%E +0.535%K +0.610%G +0.027%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.69%EV -4.25%E -0.839%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 01:59
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +2.68%E +0.335%K +0.383%G +0.010%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -2.46%E -0.323%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 01:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -2.46%E -0.323%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 01:25
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.05%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.52%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +3.87%E +0.703%K +0.860%G +0.033%5.0%2026-08-07 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 02:00
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 01:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 02:04
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 02:00
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 02:05
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -6.31%E -0.864%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV +0.091%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 01:55
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -6.31%E -0.864%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV +0.091%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 01:55
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 01:35
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.49%EV -13.28%E -10.46%K -49.20%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.61%EV -11.44%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.91%EV -13.13%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-07 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.75%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 02:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 01:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 01:50
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -19.78%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -13.13%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 02:05
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -22.99%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 01:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.32%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-08-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.70%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87%1.8%2026-08-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.28%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.09%2.4%2026-08-07 02:05
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%3.5%2026-08-07 02:02