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América v San Diego FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América (Local)
Predicción 68.28%1.46momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -7.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.90%68.23%68.44%70.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.371.371.4278.74%73.07%72.99%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Diego FC (Visitante)
Predicción 12.83%7.79momio equitativo
EV +9.10%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.21%
Crecimiento +0.110%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.00%12.96%12.66%14.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.006.956.508.5016.67%14.38%15.38%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.89%5.30momio equitativo
EV +3.87%
Ventaja +0.703%
Kelly +0.860%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.31%18.81%18.90%20.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.844.755.5022.73%20.67%21.05%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: América (Local): 68.28%; San Diego FC (Visitante): 12.83%; Empate: 18.89%. Para San Diego FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.79. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.10%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +9.10%E +1.07%K +1.21%G +0.110% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.36%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 8.19I 12.21%NM 11.69%EV +5.12%E +0.625%K +0.712%G +0.036% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.95%EV -4.63%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.66%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 8.13I 12.30%NM 11.65%EV +4.35%E +0.535%K +0.610%G +0.027% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.69%EV -4.25%E -0.839%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +2.68%E +0.335%K +0.383%G +0.010% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -2.46%E -0.323%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 01:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.11%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV -2.46%E -0.323%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.34%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 01:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.05%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.52%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +3.87%E +0.703%K +0.860%G +0.033% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.96%EV -5.77%E -4.18%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 01:28 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 01:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 02:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 02:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.08%EV -11.24%E -8.64%K -37.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.80%EV -3.74%E -0.499%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -6.31%E -0.864%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV +0.091%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 01:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -6.31%E -0.864%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV +0.091%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.17%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -1.80%E -0.346%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.16%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.49%EV -13.28%E -10.46%K -49.20%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 12.61%EV -11.44%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.91%EV -13.13%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.19%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -13.37%E -1.98%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -5.57%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -3.04%E -2.14%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -3.73%E -2.64%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.75%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -7.46%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.30%E -2.17%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 01:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 01:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -9.19%E -6.91%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -16.57%E -2.55%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -16.91%E -3.84%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-07 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -8.50%E -6.35%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -19.78%E -3.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -13.13%E -2.85%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.39%EV -7.82%E -5.79%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.94%EV -22.99%E -3.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-07 01:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.32% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.70% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.28% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.09% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 02:02 |