Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.32
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 42.47%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit): 30.12%; Draw: 27.40%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.588%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -1.46%E -0.629%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -7.22%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -7.39%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.71%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 11:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -15.65%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -14.20%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -14.20%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |