مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zhejiang v Shenzhen Peng City FC

البداية: 2026-05-02 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Zhejiang 2–1 Shenzhen Peng City FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zhejiang (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.47%2.35السعر العادل
EV -1.46%
الأفضلية -0.629%
Kelly -1.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.82%42.47%42.50%44.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.022.152.152.3249.50%46.48%46.51%43.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.12%3.32السعر العادل
EV -0.588%
الأفضلية -0.178%
Kelly -0.256%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.00%30.01%30.16%31.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.29%32.26%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.40%3.65السعر العادل
EV -4.10%
الأفضلية -1.17%
Kelly -1.64%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.08%27.52%27.33%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.343.383.5032.26%29.97%29.59%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -1.46%E -0.629%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 11:30
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 11:30
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 11:30
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 11:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 11:25
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -7.22%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -7.39%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:20
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.71%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:23
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 11:24
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:14
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 11:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:25
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:25
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:23
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:14
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:15
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:25
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 11:15
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:19
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:20
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 11:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 11:25
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 10:15
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 11:15
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -15.65%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 11:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-02 11:25
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -14.20%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:15
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -14.20%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-05-02 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.5%2026-05-02 11:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-05-02 11:30