L’École des cotes

Zhejiang v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 11:35 UTC

Score final : Zhejiang 2–1 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Prévision 42.47%2.35cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.82%42.47%42.50%44.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.152.152.3249.50%46.48%46.51%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.12%3.32cote équitable
EV -0.588%
Avantage -0.178%
Kelly -0.256%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.00%30.01%30.16%31.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.29%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.40%3.65cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%27.52%27.33%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.383.5032.26%29.97%29.59%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -1.46%E -0.629%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 11:30
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 11:30
BetUS2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 11:30
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 11:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 11:25
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -7.22%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -7.39%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 11:20
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.71%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:23
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 11:24
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 11:14
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 11:25
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:25
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:25
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:25
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 11:25
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:23
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:14
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 11:15
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 11:25
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 11:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 11:15
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 11:19
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:20
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 11:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 11:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 11:25
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 10:15
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 11:15
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -15.65%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-02 11:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-02 11:25
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -14.20%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:15
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -14.20%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 10:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-05-02 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.5%2026-05-02 11:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-05-02 11:30