La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Zhejiang v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zhejiang (Local)
Predicción 42.47%2.35momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.82%42.47%42.50%44.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.152.152.3249.50%46.48%46.51%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)
Predicción 30.12%3.32momio equitativo
EV -0.588%
Ventaja -0.178%
Kelly -0.256%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.00%30.01%30.16%31.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.29%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.40%3.65momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%27.52%27.33%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.383.5032.26%29.97%29.59%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -1.46%E -0.629%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.59%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -2.31%E -1.00%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| BetUS | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -3.16%E -1.38%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.54%EV -4.01%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -2.09%E -0.644%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -7.22%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -7.39%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Bovada | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -5.71%E -2.57%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 11:23 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 11:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:23 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.34%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 11:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -0.588%E -0.178%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.80%E -5.14%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -15.06%E -4.86%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| betPARX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.33%EV -12.08%E -5.83%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.23%EV -15.65%E -5.59%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-02 11:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-02 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -14.20%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -14.20%E -7.03%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 10:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.5% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |