The School of Odds

Zhejiang v Qingdao Hainiu FC

2026-07-14 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 64.87%1.54fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -3.16%
Kelly -9.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%64.78%64.93%66.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.421.4775%70%70%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)

Prediction 15.35%6.51fair odd
EV -0.214%
Edge -0.033%
Kelly -0.039%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.26%15.35%15.34%16.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.105.855.806.5020%17%17%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 19.78%5.06fair odd
EV -5.06%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.29%19.87%19.73%20.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.304.604.604.8023%22%22%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.81%EV -4.64%E -3.16%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -12.50%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 10:25
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 62.81%EV -4.64%E -3.16%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.20%EV -12.50%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 10:25
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.64%EV -5.29%E -3.62%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -7.04%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 11:10
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.94%E -4.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.04%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 11:10
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.94%E -4.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.04%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.94%E -4.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.04%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 11:09
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.94%E -4.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.04%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 11:09
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.94%E -4.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.04%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 11:10
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.53%EV -5.94%E -4.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 11:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.59%E -4.57%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.00%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 10:24
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.59%E -4.57%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.00%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 10:24
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.59%E -4.57%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.00%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 10:24
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.59%E -4.57%K -14.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -11.00%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 10:25
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.24%E -5.06%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -0.214%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -7.24%E -5.06%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-10 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -4.05%E -0.648%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 10:25
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.29%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -6.35%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 11:09
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.29%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -6.35%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 11:10
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -17.10%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -11.00%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-10 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.35%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -17.10%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -11.00%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-10 11:09
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.214%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.06%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 10:25
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-10 10:25
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -0.214%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -5.06%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 10:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -0.214%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 10:29
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.05%E -1.27%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 10:25
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-10 10:24
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 64.83%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.52%EV -8.03%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-10 11:24
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.58%EV -9.83%E -7.07%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.00%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-10 11:14
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.48%EV -10.48%E -7.59%K -27.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 11:09
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.78%E -8.66%K -32.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -7.89%E -1.31%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.00%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 10:29
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.61%EV -11.78%E -8.66%K -32.71%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.42%EV -12.50%E -2.19%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-10 11:09
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -11.78%E -8.66%K -32.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.36%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-10 11:29
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 63.52%EV -13.07%E -9.76%K -38.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.69%EV -21.71%E -4.26%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.79%EV -14.95%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-10 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.86%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81%1.0%2026-07-10 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-10 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-10 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-10 12:55