Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Kickoff: 2026-07-14 11:35 UTC

Final: Zhejiang 3–2 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 68.84%1.45fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.25%68.52%68.88%70.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.4276.92%74.26%74.07%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)

Prediction 13.06%7.66fair odd
EV +4.47%
Edge +0.559%
Kelly +0.639%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.71%13.28%13.10%15.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.987.008.0016.67%14.33%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.10%5.53fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -0.770%
Kelly -0.949%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.14%18.20%18.01%20.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.995.005.3022.99%20.03%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +4.47%E +0.559%K +0.639%G +0.029%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 11:29
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +4.47%E +0.559%K +0.639%G +0.029%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 11:30
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.23%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.03%EV -4.08%E -0.770%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 11:25
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:30
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 11:14
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-14 11:14
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 11:24
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-14 11:30
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.14%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -3.36%E -0.454%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -8.61%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 11:30
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.17%EV -5.69%E -4.15%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.12%EV -7.02%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:19
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 11:30
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-14 11:30
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-14 11:13
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-14 11:14
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-14 11:29
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -9.89%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.98%EV -6.80%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 11:19
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -9.89%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.98%EV -6.80%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 11:19
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.74%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -11.20%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -5.89%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.03%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 11:24
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -21.27%E -4.89%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 11:30
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-14 11:24
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.69%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.53%EV -12.50%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 11:24
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.92%EV -13.81%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 11:24
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-14 11:24
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-14 11:24
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -18.38%E -2.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -4.08%E -0.770%K -0.949%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-14 11:19
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -2.24%E -1.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 11:19
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-14 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.15%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%0.4%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-07-14 11:30
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-07-14 11:30