مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zhejiang v Qingdao Hainiu FC

البداية: 2026-07-14 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Zhejiang 3–2 Qingdao Hainiu FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zhejiang (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.84%1.45السعر العادل
EV -2.24%
الأفضلية -1.58%
Kelly -5.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.25%68.52%68.88%70.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.351.351.4276.92%74.26%74.07%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.06%7.66السعر العادل
EV +4.47%
الأفضلية +0.559%
Kelly +0.639%
النمو +0.029%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.71%13.28%13.10%15.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.006.987.008.0016.67%14.33%14.29%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.10%5.53السعر العادل
EV -4.08%
الأفضلية -0.770%
Kelly -0.949%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.14%18.20%18.01%20.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.354.995.005.3022.99%20.03%20.00%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +4.47%E +0.559%K +0.639%G +0.029%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 11:29
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +4.47%E +0.559%K +0.639%G +0.029%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 11:30
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.23%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.03%EV -4.08%E -0.770%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 11:25
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:30
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 11:14
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-14 11:14
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 11:24
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-14 11:30
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.14%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -3.36%E -0.454%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -8.61%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 11:30
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.17%EV -5.69%E -4.15%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.12%EV -7.02%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:19
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 11:30
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-14 11:30
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-14 11:13
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-14 11:14
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-14 11:29
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -9.89%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.98%EV -6.80%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 11:19
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -9.89%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.98%EV -6.80%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 11:19
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.74%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -11.20%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -5.89%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.03%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 11:24
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -21.27%E -4.89%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 11:30
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-14 11:24
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.69%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.53%EV -12.50%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 11:24
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.92%EV -13.81%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 11:24
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-14 11:24
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-14 11:24
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -18.38%E -2.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -4.08%E -0.770%K -0.949%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-14 11:19
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -2.24%E -1.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 11:19
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-14 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-14 11:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.15%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%0.4%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-07-14 11:30
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-07-14 11:30