L’École des cotes

Zhejiang v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-14 11:35 UTC

Score final : Zhejiang 3–2 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Prévision 68.84%1.45cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -5.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.25%68.52%68.88%70.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.351.4276.92%74.26%74.07%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.06%7.66cote équitable
EV +4.47%
Avantage +0.559%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.71%13.28%13.10%15.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.987.008.0016.67%14.33%14.29%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.10%5.53cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -0.770%
Kelly -0.949%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.14%18.20%18.01%20.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.354.995.005.3022.99%20.03%20.00%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +4.47%E +0.559%K +0.639%G +0.029%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 11:29
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +4.47%E +0.559%K +0.639%G +0.029%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-14 11:30
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.23%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.03%EV -4.08%E -0.770%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 11:25
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:30
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-14 11:14
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-14 11:14
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 11:24
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-14 11:30
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.14%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -3.36%E -0.454%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -8.61%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 11:30
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.17%EV -5.69%E -4.15%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.12%EV -7.02%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-14 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:19
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:24
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 11:30
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-14 11:30
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-14 11:13
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-14 11:14
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-14 11:29
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -9.89%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.98%EV -6.80%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 11:19
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -9.89%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.98%EV -6.80%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 11:19
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.74%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -11.20%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -5.89%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.03%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 11:24
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -21.27%E -4.89%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 11:30
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-14 11:24
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-14 11:24
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.69%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.53%EV -12.50%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 11:24
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.92%EV -13.81%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 11:24
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-14 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-14 11:24
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-14 11:24
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -18.38%E -2.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -4.08%E -0.770%K -0.949%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-14 11:19
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -2.24%E -1.58%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-14 11:19
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-14 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-14 11:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.15%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%0.4%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-07-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-07-14 11:30
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-07-14 11:30