La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zhejiang v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zhejiang (Local)
Predicción 68.84%1.45momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -5.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.25%68.52%68.88%70.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.351.4276.92%74.26%74.07%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)
Predicción 13.06%7.66momio equitativo
EV +4.47%
Ventaja +0.559%
Kelly +0.639%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.71%13.28%13.10%15.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.987.008.0016.67%14.33%14.29%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.10%5.53momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -0.770%
Kelly -0.949%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.14%18.20%18.01%20.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.354.995.005.3022.99%20.03%20.00%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +4.47%E +0.559%K +0.639%G +0.029% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +4.47%E +0.559%K +0.639%G +0.029% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.23%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.74%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.03%EV -4.08%E -0.770%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 11:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-14 11:14 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-14 11:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -2.06%E -0.274%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.14%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -3.36%E -0.454%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -8.61%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.17%EV -5.69%E -4.15%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.12%EV -7.02%E -0.986%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -9.69%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.37%E -4.69%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 11:13 |
| betano_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-14 11:14 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -8.59%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -9.89%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.98%EV -6.80%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.42%EV -9.89%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.98%EV -6.80%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.74%EV -7.75%E -5.78%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.55%EV -11.20%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -5.89%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.03%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -21.27%E -4.89%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -11.85%E -1.76%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.69%EV -9.13%E -6.91%K -28.52%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.53%EV -12.50%E -1.87%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.92%EV -13.81%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -7.70%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -5.00%E -3.62%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.99%E -0.950%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.12%E -2.33%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-14 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -18.38%E -2.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -4.08%E -0.770%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -2.24%E -1.58%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -13.13%E -2.74%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -8.44%E -6.35%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -10.50%E -8.08%K -35.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -21.65%E -3.61%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 11:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.15% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79% | 0.4% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-07-14 11:30 |