The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Zhejiang v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

2026-08-15 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 33.34%3.00fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.70%33.28%33.63%34.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.31%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)

Prediction 42.07%2.38fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.37%42.14%41.96%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.152.2950.00%46.15%46.51%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.555%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%24.59%24.41%25.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.81%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Zhejiang (Local): 33.34%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 42.07%; Draw: 24.58%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -1.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.30%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -11.50%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.30%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -11.50%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.30%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -11.50%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:59
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -3.30%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -11.50%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:59
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.87%EV -5.97%E -2.12%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.71%EV -3.66%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.43%EV -3.88%E -0.991%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 19:04
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -5.97%E -2.12%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -10.27%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 19:04
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -5.97%E -2.12%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -10.27%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 19:04
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -1.66%E -0.416%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -6.64%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -11.50%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 19:03
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.21%EV -7.64%E -2.76%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.37%EV -3.66%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.42%EV -4.61%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.66%E -0.416%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:04
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.66%E -0.416%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 19:03
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 19:10
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -8.30%E -3.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 19:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.84%EV -8.64%E -3.15%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.58%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:59
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.97%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -5.35%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -9.97%E -3.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -13.96%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 19:04
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -12.64%E -4.82%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.55%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -6.58%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 19:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -13.31%E -5.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -12.73%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 19:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.64%EV -14.97%E -5.87%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.85%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -13.96%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-08 19:04
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -16.64%E -6.66%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -15.86%E -7.93%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -7.81%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-08 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 32.43%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.32%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.25%10.9%2026-08-08 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 13:35