Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 11:35 UTC

Final: Zhejiang 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 32.05%3.12fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.10%32.07%32.04%33.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.883.0438.46%34.95%34.72%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)

Prediction 43.35%2.31fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.03%43.37%43.35%44.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.122.122.2451.28%47.07%47.17%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.60%4.06fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.530%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.67%24.56%24.61%25.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.79%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 32.05%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 43.35%; Draw: 24.60%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -2.57%E -0.847%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.96%EV -5.93%E -2.73%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.65%EV -4.79%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.76%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.56%EV -3.56%E -0.908%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:23
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 11:05
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:25
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.90%EV -8.53%E -4.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:28
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.52%EV -8.53%E -4.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:34
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 11:29
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 11:04
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:29
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.60%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -10.70%E -5.19%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-13 15:54
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:24
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:24
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.57%EV -11.57%E -5.67%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-13 15:54
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:29
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 11:19
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-13 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-13 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 11:29
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.14%EV -16.68%E -6.41%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.19%EV -15.47%E -7.93%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-15 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 11:30