Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zhejiang (Local): 32.05%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante): 43.35%; Empate: 24.60%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.06. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.00, con un valor esperado de -1.59%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -2.57%E -0.847%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.96%EV -5.93%E -2.73%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.65%EV -4.79%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.76%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.56%EV -3.56%E -0.908%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 11:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 11:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.90%EV -8.53%E -4.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 11:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.52%EV -8.53%E -4.04%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.60%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -10.70%E -5.19%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.57%EV -11.57%E -5.67%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-13 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.14%EV -16.68%E -6.41%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.19%EV -15.47%E -7.93%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 11:30 |