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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Zhejiang v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

2026-08-15 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zhejiang (主队)

预测 34.15%2.93公平赔率
EV -3.70%
优势 -1.31%
Kelly -2.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.82

博彩公司预测分布
32.23%34.05%34.16%35.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.692.702.8240.00%37.24%37.04%35.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (客队)

预测 41.41%2.41公平赔率
EV -4.75%
优势 -2.07%
Kelly -3.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
40.96%41.48%41.40%42.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.192.202.3050.00%45.75%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.44%4.09公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -0.561%
Kelly -0.748%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
22.86%24.47%24.44%25.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.79%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Zhejiang (主队)：34.15%；Chengdu Rongcheng FC (客队)：41.41%；平局：24.44%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.09。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为4.00，期望值为-2.24%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.87%EV -3.70%E -1.31%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.71%EV -5.17%E -2.26%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.43%EV -4.44%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 19:04
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.97%E -5.10%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.97%E -5.10%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.97%E -5.10%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:54
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -4.38%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.97%E -5.10%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 19:55
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.21%EV -5.40%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.37%EV -5.17%E -2.26%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.42%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.84%EV -6.43%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -8.07%E -3.63%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:59
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -7.11%E -2.61%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 20:04
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -7.11%E -2.61%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.06%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 20:03
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 19:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.80%E -2.89%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 20:04
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 19:54
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 19:59
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.50%E -3.59%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 19:54
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -10.53%E -4.02%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -2.24%E -0.561%K -0.748%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 19:55
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 20:05
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.97%E -5.10%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 19:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -10.97%E -5.10%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -11.21%E -4.31%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -13.04%E -6.21%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -13.24%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 19:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.64%EV -12.92%E -5.07%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.85%EV -15.11%E -7.37%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -14.46%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-08 19:04
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.29%EV -14.63%E -5.85%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -17.18%E -8.59%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -8.35%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-08 19:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 32.43%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.32%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.25%10.9%2026-08-08 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 13:35