默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zhejiang v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 11:35 UTC

最终结果: Zhejiang 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zhejiang (主队)

预测 32.05%3.12公平赔率
EV -2.57%
优势 -0.847%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.04

博彩公司预测分布
31.10%32.07%32.04%33.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.862.883.0438.46%34.95%34.72%32.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (客队)

预测 43.35%2.31公平赔率
EV -2.90%
优势 -1.29%
Kelly -2.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.24

博彩公司预测分布
42.03%43.37%43.35%44.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.122.122.2451.28%47.07%47.17%44.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.60%4.06公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -0.397%
Kelly -0.530%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
22.67%24.56%24.61%25.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.79%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Zhejiang (主队):32.05%;Chengdu Rongcheng FC (客队):43.35%;平局:24.60%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.06。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.00,期望值为-1.59%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -2.57%E -0.847%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.96%EV -5.93%E -2.73%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.65%EV -4.79%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.76%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.56%EV -3.56%E -0.908%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:23
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 11:05
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:25
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.90%EV -8.53%E -4.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:28
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.52%EV -8.53%E -4.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:34
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 11:29
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 11:04
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:29
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.60%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -10.70%E -5.19%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-13 15:54
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:24
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:24
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.57%EV -11.57%E -5.67%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-13 15:54
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:29
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 11:19
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-13 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-13 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 11:29
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.14%EV -16.68%E -6.41%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.19%EV -15.47%E -7.93%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-15 10:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 11:30