Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zhejiang v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 11:35 UTC

Score final : Zhejiang 2–3 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prévision 32.05%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -0.847%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.10%32.07%32.04%33.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.862.883.0438.46%34.95%34.72%32.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.35%2.31cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.03%43.37%43.35%44.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.122.122.2451.28%47.07%47.17%44.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.60%4.06cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.397%
Kelly -0.530%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.67%24.56%24.61%25.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.754.0028.57%26.79%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zhejiang (Local) : 32.05% ; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur) : 43.35% ; Match nul : 24.60%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.06. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.00, pour une espérance de -1.59% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -2.57%E -0.847%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.96%EV -5.93%E -2.73%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.65%EV -4.79%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -3.86%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -3.76%E -1.70%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.56%EV -3.56%E -0.908%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:23
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.47%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 11:05
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:25
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.82%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.90%EV -8.53%E -4.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -5.46%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.34%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.63%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:28
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.05%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.52%EV -8.53%E -4.04%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:34
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 11:29
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -1.59%E -0.397%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 11:04
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:29
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.70%E -2.67%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.29%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.82%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -5.28%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.60%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -10.70%E -5.19%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-13 15:54
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:24
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:24
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.27%E -3.67%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.57%EV -11.57%E -5.67%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-13 15:54
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.74%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:29
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.43%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 11:19
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.89%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-13 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -11.87%E -4.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -12.66%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-13 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -8.97%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 11:29
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.14%EV -16.68%E -6.41%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.19%EV -15.47%E -7.93%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -6.51%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-15 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.13%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-08-15 11:30