The School of Odds

Yunnan Yukun v Shenzhen Peng City FC

2026-07-26 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prediction 51.37%1.95fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -5.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.61%51.44%51.37%52.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8559%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.62%4.06fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.762%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%24.66%24.61%26.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.673.753.9431%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.01%4.16fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.496%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%23.90%24.02%24.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.833.854.1029%26%26%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -4.97%E -2.69%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.09%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 00:05
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.49%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.21%EV -3.00%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.96%EV -4.42%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 11:29
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 51.35%EV -5.49%E -2.98%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.61%EV -5.47%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.04%EV -5.62%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 12:30
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.94%E -0.985%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 11:35
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 15:22
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.00%E -3.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 14:10
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 12:19
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -6.51%E -3.58%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 12:20
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -1.54%E -0.375%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 11:35
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -1.54%E -0.375%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -1.54%E -0.375%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 11:50
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.61%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 11:35
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.84%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -3.94%E -0.985%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 11:35
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 12:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 12:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.14%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 12:50
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.54%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 21:50
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -8.05%E -4.50%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -5.96%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -7.30%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -10.11%E -5.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.45%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.94%E -0.985%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -10.11%E -5.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -3.94%E -0.985%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 11:44
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.14%EV -10.62%E -6.10%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.84%E -3.95%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -15.95%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-19 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.12%EV -10.62%E -6.10%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -16.30%E -4.79%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.23%EV -13.55%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-19 12:20
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 49.78%EV -12.68%E -7.46%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.04%EV -19.99%E -6.15%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.18%EV -15.95%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-19 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.61%EV -12.68%E -7.46%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.95%EV -19.99%E -6.15%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.44%EV -17.15%E -4.97%K -7.00%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-19 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.