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Yunnan Yukun v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Yunnan Yukun (Хозяева)
Прогноз 56.58%1.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.145%
Преимущество +0.082%
Kelly +0.189%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.77
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.36%56.27%56.61%58.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.641.651.7763.69%60.88%60.61%56.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Гости)
Прогноз 21.64%4.62справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.49%
Преимущество +0.318%
Kelly +0.405%
Рост +0.006%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.69
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.42%21.87%21.62%24.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.504.194.204.6928.57%23.84%23.81%21.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.78%4.59справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.08%
Преимущество -0.692%
Kelly -0.892%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.73%21.86%21.76%23.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.854.194.204.4525.97%23.88%23.81%22.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Yunnan Yukun (Хозяева): 56.58%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Гости): 21.64%; Ничья: 21.78%. Для исхода «Shenzhen Peng City FC (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.62. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.69, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.49%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.42%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.405%G +0.006% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.08%E -0.692%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.73%EV -2.40%E -0.533%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.55%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.62%E -0.582%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -4.17%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 10:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.17%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -7.78%E -4.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-26 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 10:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-26 10:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -9.61%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -9.61%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.75%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.69%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 10:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.69%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.69%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.83%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.64%EV -3.25%E -1.90%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.08%EV -6.73%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.28%EV -7.00%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 09:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.17%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-26 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.08%E -3.66%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 10:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.08%E -3.66%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-26 10:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -7.78%E -4.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.21%E -4.40%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-26 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 08:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -6.08%E -3.66%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -7.21%E -4.40%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -7.21%E -4.40%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-26 08:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -10.60%E -6.71%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.36%EV +0.145%E +0.082%K +0.189%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -16.04%E -4.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -15.06%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -3.82%E -2.24%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -16.68%E -4.33%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -16.15%E -4.19%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.40%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -24.26%E -6.93%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-26 10:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-07-26 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51% | 2.2% | 2026-07-26 10:40 |