Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 11:00 UTC

Score final : Yunnan Yukun 4–3 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prévision 56.58%1.77cote équitable
EV +0.145%
Avantage +0.082%
Kelly +0.189%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%56.27%56.61%58.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.651.7763.69%60.88%60.61%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.64%4.62cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.318%
Kelly +0.405%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.42%21.87%21.62%24.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.504.194.204.6928.57%23.84%23.81%21.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.78%4.59cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.692%
Kelly -0.892%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.73%21.86%21.76%23.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.194.204.4525.97%23.88%23.81%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yunnan Yukun (Local) : 56.58% ; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visiteur) : 21.64% ; Match nul : 21.78%. Pour Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.62. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.69, soit une espérance positive de +1.49%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.42%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.405%G +0.006%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.08%E -0.692%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 10:55
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.73%EV -2.40%E -0.533%K -0.684%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.55%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 10:50
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.62%E -0.582%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -4.17%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 10:54
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -4.17%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:50
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -7.78%E -4.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 10:45
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 10:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 10:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 10:56
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -9.61%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 10:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -9.61%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 10:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.75%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.69%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 10:40
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.69%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 10:53
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.69%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 10:55
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.83%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 10:50
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.64%EV -3.25%E -1.90%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.08%EV -6.73%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.28%EV -7.00%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 09:40
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.17%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:45
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.08%E -3.66%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 10:53
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.08%E -3.66%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.95%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.03%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 10:45
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 10:50
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 10:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -7.78%E -4.77%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.31%EV -8.91%E -5.53%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -11.17%E -7.11%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -9.11%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 10:55
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.21%E -4.40%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 08:10
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 08:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 08:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 08:10
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 08:09
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 08:10
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -4.95%E -2.94%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -6.08%E -3.66%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 08:10
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -6.64%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.44%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -7.21%E -4.40%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -7.21%E -4.40%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 08:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -10.60%E -6.71%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.36%EV +0.145%E +0.082%K +0.189%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -16.04%E -4.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -15.06%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -3.82%E -2.24%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -16.68%E -4.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -16.15%E -4.19%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.40%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -24.26%E -6.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 10:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-07-26 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-07-26 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-07-26 10:55
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-07-26 10:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.56%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.51%2.2%2026-07-26 10:40