La escuela de los momios

Yunnan Yukun v Shenzhen Peng City FC

2026-07-26 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Predicción 54.09%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.852%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.36%54.01%54.11%55.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.731.8261.73%58.25%57.80%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)

Predicción 23.59%4.24momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.391%
Kelly -0.515%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.00%23.61%23.59%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.883.884.1729.41%25.80%25.77%23.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.32%4.48momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.409%
Kelly -0.530%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.13%22.38%22.30%24.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.084.104.4026.67%24.51%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.39%EV -1.55%E -0.852%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.78%EV -10.51%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 18:55
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.09%EV -2.63%E -1.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.37%EV -3.52%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -9.39%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 04:09
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.36%EV -4.26%E -2.40%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -8.47%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:55
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.01%EV -1.63%E -0.391%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.16%EV -3.36%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 04:25
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.28%E -0.801%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 04:20
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.28%E -0.801%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 04:19
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -4.03%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 02:30
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.03%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 04:09
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 04:20
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 04:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -3.36%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 02:29
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -4.03%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 02:34
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:04
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:05
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:05
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:05
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:05
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 11:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 04:04
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 04:04
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 04:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 04:05
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 02:29
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 02:34
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.96%E -4.05%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -5.15%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 02:29
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -6.96%E -4.05%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -16.31%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 04:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -7.50%E -4.39%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 11:05
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 04:19
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.82%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -9.61%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 04:04
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.82%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -9.61%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 04:04
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 04:04
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 04:05
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 02:35
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -6.82%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 04:05
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 04:04
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.93%EV -8.04%E -4.73%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 04:14
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.58%E -5.08%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -1.80%E -0.409%K -0.530%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:33
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -9.12%E -5.43%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -8.50%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 04:05
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -9.12%E -5.43%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 11:05
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -9.12%E -5.43%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 11:05
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.27%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 04:09
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 02:35
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.84%EV -10.75%E -6.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -12.96%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-26 04:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.63%EV -11.29%E -6.88%K -17.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -13.90%E -3.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -11.84%E -3.00%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-26 04:04
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -12.37%E -7.64%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -19.80%E -5.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -10.73%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 04:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.2%2026-07-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-07-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-07-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-07-26 05:14
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-07-26 05:05