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Yunnan Yukun v Shanghai SIPG FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Prediction 41.82%2.39fair odd
EV +3.72%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +2.51%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.53%41.66%41.74%43.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.252.212.4850.00%44.36%45.15%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)
Prediction 34.89%2.87fair odd
EV +0.481%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.256%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.88%35.01%35.06%38.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.612.622.8842.55%38.37%38.17%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.29%4.29fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.685%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.36%23.33%23.20%24.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.64%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 41.82%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 34.89%; Draw: 23.29%. For Yunnan Yukun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV +2.47%E +1.01%K +1.70%G +0.042% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV +1.63%E +0.671%K +1.14%G +0.019% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -16.27%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV +0.376%E +0.157%K +0.268%G +0.001% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -18.01%E -7.66%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV +0.376%E +0.157%K +0.268%G +0.001% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -18.01%E -7.66%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%EV -2.13%E -0.912%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -2.66%E -0.953%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.70%EV -9.64%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.11%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.14%EV -5.06%E -2.23%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.09%EV -4.40%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -12.21%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95%EV -6.32%E -2.82%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -0.914%E -0.322%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.36%E -0.809%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.38%EV -7.15%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.06%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.38%EV -7.15%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.06%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.38%EV -7.57%E -3.43%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.27%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.52%EV -0.914%E -0.322%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 11:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-17 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -8.83%E -4.05%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV +0.481%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -9.66%E -4.47%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.94%EV -4.75%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-17 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.33%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.34%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 11:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -8.24%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.17%E -5.80%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-17 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.73%EV -16.35%E -8.18%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-07-17 11:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.50% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68% | 0.6% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.2% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.51% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-07-17 11:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28% | 3.0% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |