A Escola das Odds

Yunnan Yukun v Shanghai SIPG FC

Início: 2026-07-17 12:00 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 2–2 Shanghai SIPG FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Previsão 41.82%2.39odd justa
EV +3.72%
Vantagem +1.50%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescimento +0.094%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.53%41.66%41.74%43.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.252.212.4850.00%44.36%45.15%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)

Previsão 34.89%2.87odd justa
EV +0.481%
Vantagem +0.167%
Kelly +0.256%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.88%35.01%35.06%38.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.612.622.8842.55%38.37%38.17%34.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.29%4.29odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -0.522%
Kelly -0.685%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.36%23.33%23.20%24.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.64%25.64%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:40
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV +2.47%E +1.01%K +1.70%G +0.042%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV +1.63%E +0.671%K +1.14%G +0.019%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -16.27%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:45
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV +0.376%E +0.157%K +0.268%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -18.01%E -7.66%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV +0.376%E +0.157%K +0.268%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -18.01%E -7.66%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:45
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%EV -2.13%E -0.912%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -2.66%E -0.953%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.70%EV -9.64%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 11:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.11%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 11:40
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 11:40
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.14%EV -5.06%E -2.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.09%EV -4.40%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -12.21%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 11:55
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 11:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:49
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 11:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 11:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:40
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95%EV -6.32%E -2.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -0.914%E -0.322%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.36%E -0.809%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 11:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.38%EV -7.15%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.06%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.38%EV -7.15%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.06%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.38%EV -7.57%E -3.43%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.27%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.52%EV -0.914%E -0.322%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 11:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 11:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 11:49
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:35
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:55
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 11:54
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 11:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:50
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -8.83%E -4.05%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV +0.481%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 11:55
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -9.66%E -4.47%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.94%EV -4.75%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:55
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.33%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.34%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -8.24%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.17%E -5.80%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 11:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.73%EV -16.35%E -8.18%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-17 11:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.50%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.6%2026-07-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-07-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-07-17 11:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.0%2026-07-17 11:50