La escuela de los momios

Yunnan Yukun v Shanghai SIPG FC

Inicio: 2026-07-17 12:00 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 2–2 Shanghai SIPG FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Predicción 41.82%2.39momio equitativo
EV +3.72%
Ventaja +1.50%
Kelly +2.51%
Crecimiento +0.094%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.53%41.66%41.74%43.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.252.212.4850.00%44.36%45.15%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)

Predicción 34.89%2.87momio equitativo
EV +0.481%
Ventaja +0.167%
Kelly +0.256%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.88%35.01%35.06%38.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.612.622.8842.55%38.37%38.17%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.29%4.29momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.685%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.36%23.33%23.20%24.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.64%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:40
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV +2.47%E +1.01%K +1.70%G +0.042%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV +1.63%E +0.671%K +1.14%G +0.019%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -16.27%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:45
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV +0.376%E +0.157%K +0.268%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -18.01%E -7.66%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV +0.376%E +0.157%K +0.268%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -18.01%E -7.66%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:45
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%EV -2.13%E -0.912%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -2.66%E -0.953%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.70%EV -9.64%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 11:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.11%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 11:40
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 11:40
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.14%EV -5.06%E -2.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.09%EV -4.40%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -12.21%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 11:55
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 11:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:49
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 11:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 11:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:40
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95%EV -6.32%E -2.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -0.914%E -0.322%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.36%E -0.809%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 11:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.38%EV -7.15%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.06%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.38%EV -7.15%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.06%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.38%EV -7.57%E -3.43%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.27%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.52%EV -0.914%E -0.322%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 11:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 11:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 11:49
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:35
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:55
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 11:54
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 11:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:50
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -8.83%E -4.05%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV +0.481%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 11:55
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -9.66%E -4.47%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.94%EV -4.75%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:55
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.33%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.34%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -8.24%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.17%E -5.80%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 11:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.73%EV -16.35%E -8.18%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-17 11:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.50%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.6%2026-07-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-07-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-07-17 11:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.0%2026-07-17 11:50