L’École des cotes

Yunnan Yukun v Shanghai SIPG FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 12:00 UTC

Score final : Yunnan Yukun 2–2 Shanghai SIPG FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prévision 41.82%2.39cote équitable
EV +3.72%
Avantage +1.50%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.094%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.53%41.66%41.74%43.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.252.212.4850.00%44.36%45.15%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.89%2.87cote équitable
EV +0.481%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.256%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.88%35.01%35.06%38.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.612.622.8842.55%38.37%38.17%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.29%4.29cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.522%
Kelly -0.685%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.36%23.33%23.20%24.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.903.904.2027.03%25.64%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:40
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV +3.72%E +1.50%K +2.51%G +0.094%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 11:45
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV +2.47%E +1.01%K +1.70%G +0.042%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -15.22%E -6.26%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.34%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV +1.63%E +0.671%K +1.14%G +0.019%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -16.27%E -6.78%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 11:45
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV +0.376%E +0.157%K +0.268%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -18.01%E -7.66%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV +0.376%E +0.157%K +0.268%G +0.001%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -18.01%E -7.66%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:45
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.95%EV -2.13%E -0.912%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -2.66%E -0.953%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.70%EV -9.64%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 11:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.11%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.19%E -0.522%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-17 11:40
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -3.81%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 11:40
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.14%EV -5.06%E -2.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.09%EV -4.40%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -12.21%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 11:55
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 11:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:50
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:49
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.47%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 11:40
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 11:40
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -5.90%E -2.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:40
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.95%EV -6.32%E -2.82%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.87%EV -0.914%E -0.322%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.36%E -0.809%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 11:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.38%EV -7.15%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.06%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.38%EV -7.15%E -3.22%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.06%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.38%EV -7.57%E -3.43%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 11:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.27%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.52%EV -0.914%E -0.322%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.52%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 11:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 11:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -4.05%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 11:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.85%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 11:49
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 11:35
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.61%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:55
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 11:54
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 11:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.99%E -3.63%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.29%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.84%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:50
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.44%EV -8.83%E -4.05%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.88%EV +0.481%E +0.167%K +0.256%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 11:55
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.90%EV -9.66%E -4.47%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.94%EV -4.75%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 11:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 11:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:55
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.33%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.34%EV -7.54%E -2.85%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -11.03%E -4.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -8.24%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 11:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.08%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.39%EV -8.59%E -3.28%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.17%E -5.80%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.78%E -5.11%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 11:40
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.73%EV -16.35%E -8.18%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.91%EV -16.96%E -7.13%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -6.85%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-17 11:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.50%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.6%2026-07-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-07-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-07-17 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-07-17 11:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.0%2026-07-17 11:50