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Yunnan Yukun v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Prediction 57.19%1.75fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%57.18%57.22%58.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.91%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 21.99%4.55fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.537%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.20%21.99%21.96%23.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.184.204.4427.78%23.94%23.81%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.83%4.80fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.448%
Kelly -0.570%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%20.83%20.82%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.374.404.7025.00%22.89%22.73%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 57.19%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 21.99%; Draw: 20.83%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.70, with an expected value of -2.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.54%EV -8.10%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.37%EV -8.15%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 10:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.57%EV -2.39%E -0.537%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%EV -2.11%E -0.448%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.05%EV -6.78%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -5.44%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.29%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.16%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.94%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -15.36%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-01 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -20.85%E -5.79%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-06 11:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 11:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.98% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |