Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun v Liaoning Tieren FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 11:35 UTC

Score final : Yunnan Yukun 5–0 Liaoning Tieren FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prévision 57.19%1.75cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -5.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.56%57.18%57.22%58.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.91%61.73%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.99%4.55cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.537%
Kelly -0.694%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.20%21.99%21.96%23.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.184.204.4427.78%23.94%23.81%22.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.83%4.80cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.448%
Kelly -0.570%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.87%20.83%20.82%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.374.404.7025.00%22.89%22.73%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yunnan Yukun (Local) : 57.19% ; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur) : 21.99% ; Match nul : 20.83%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.80. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.70, pour une espérance de -2.11% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.54%EV -8.10%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.37%EV -8.15%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 10:34
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:30
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.57%EV -2.39%E -0.537%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%EV -2.11%E -0.448%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 11:29
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.05%EV -6.78%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -5.44%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.29%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.16%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:30
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 11:25
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:29
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:29
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.94%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -15.36%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:30
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-01 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-01 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-01 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -20.85%E -5.79%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 11:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77%1.1%2026-09-06 11:05
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%1.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-09-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-09-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-09-06 11:30