Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yunnan Yukun v Liaoning Tieren FC

Início: 2026-09-06 11:35 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 5–0 Liaoning Tieren FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Previsão 57.19%1.75odd justa
EV -3.93%
Vantagem -2.34%
Kelly -5.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.56%57.18%57.22%58.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.91%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)

Previsão 21.99%4.55odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -0.537%
Kelly -0.694%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.20%21.99%21.96%23.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.184.204.4427.78%23.94%23.81%22.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.83%4.80odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -0.448%
Kelly -0.570%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.87%20.83%20.82%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.374.404.7025.00%22.89%22.73%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 57.19%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante): 21.99%; Empate: 20.83%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.70, com valor esperado de -2.11%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.54%EV -8.10%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.37%EV -8.15%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 10:34
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:30
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.57%EV -2.39%E -0.537%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%EV -2.11%E -0.448%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 11:29
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.05%EV -6.78%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -5.44%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.29%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.16%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:30
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:30
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 11:25
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:29
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:29
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.94%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -15.36%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:30
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-01 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-01 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-01 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -20.85%E -5.79%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 11:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77%1.1%2026-09-06 11:05
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%1.5%2026-09-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-09-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-09-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-09-06 11:30