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Yunnan Yukun v Liaoning Tieren FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Predicción 57.19%1.75momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -5.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.56%57.18%57.22%58.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.91%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)
Predicción 21.99%4.55momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.20%21.99%21.96%23.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.184.204.4427.78%23.94%23.81%22.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.83%4.80momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.448%
Kelly -0.570%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.87%20.83%20.82%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.374.404.7025.00%22.89%22.73%21.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 57.19%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante): 21.99%; Empate: 20.83%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.80. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.70, con un valor esperado de -2.11%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.54%EV -8.10%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.37%EV -8.15%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 10:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.42%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.05%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.57%EV -2.39%E -0.537%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%EV -2.11%E -0.448%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.27%E -0.742%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.36%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.05%EV -6.78%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -5.44%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.29%EV -6.79%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -6.56%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.49%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.16%E -3.33%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.44%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -7.93%E -4.93%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -4.36%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -7.31%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.27%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.94%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.25%EV -15.36%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.58%EV -9.07%E -5.71%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -12.06%E -3.01%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -10.44%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.46%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -4.19%E -0.911%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.52%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.79%E -6.92%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -7.66%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.72%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-01 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -9.86%E -2.41%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -14.60%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -20.85%E -5.79%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -9.81%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-06 11:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 11:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.98% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 11:30 |