Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yunnan Yukun v Dalian Yingbo

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 3–1 Dalian Yingbo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prediction 43.96%2.27fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%44.08%44.01%45.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.072.102.2152.36%48.35%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visit)

Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV -0.646%
Edge -0.212%
Kelly -0.315%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%32.48%32.56%33.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.872.853.0540.00%34.88%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.46%4.26fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.457%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%23.44%23.43%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.69%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 43.96%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 32.58%; Draw: 23.46%. For Dalian Yingbo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -0.646%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.53%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.17%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.29%EV -3.11%E -0.752%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:45
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:45
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:39
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.63%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -2.93%E -0.982%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.78%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 15:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:39
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.30%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:32
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:45
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:49
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:49
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:49
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:45
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -8.56%E -4.11%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:34
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:53
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:53
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 11:39
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 11:50
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 11:49
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.07%E -6.04%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.07%E -6.04%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.55%EV -14.27%E -7.32%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.11%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -15.15%E -7.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -15.15%E -7.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.12%EV -16.03%E -8.39%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.71%EV -18.56%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.18%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%18.7%2026-08-15 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%1.0%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:45