Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun v Dalian Yingbo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC

Score final : Yunnan Yukun 3–1 Dalian Yingbo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prévision 43.96%2.27cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.04%44.08%44.01%45.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.072.102.2152.36%48.35%47.62%45.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.58%3.07cote équitable
EV -0.646%
Avantage -0.212%
Kelly -0.315%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.11%32.48%32.56%33.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.872.853.0540.00%34.88%35.09%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.46%4.26cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.348%
Kelly -0.457%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%23.44%23.43%24.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.69%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yunnan Yukun (Local) : 43.96% ; Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur) : 32.58% ; Match nul : 23.46%. Pour Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.07. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.05, pour une espérance de -0.646% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.53%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.17%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.29%EV -3.11%E -0.752%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:45
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:45
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:39
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.63%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -2.93%E -0.982%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.78%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 15:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:39
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.30%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:32
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:45
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:49
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:49
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:49
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:45
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -8.56%E -4.11%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:34
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:53
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:53
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 11:39
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 11:50
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 11:49
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.07%E -6.04%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.07%E -6.04%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.55%EV -14.27%E -7.32%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.11%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -15.15%E -7.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -15.15%E -7.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.12%EV -16.03%E -8.39%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.71%EV -18.56%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.18%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%18.7%2026-08-15 11:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%1.0%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:45