Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yunnan Yukun v Dalian Yingbo

Início: 2026-08-15 12:00 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 3–1 Dalian Yingbo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Previsão 43.96%2.27odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.04%44.08%44.01%45.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.072.102.2152.36%48.35%47.62%45.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visitante)

Previsão 32.58%3.07odd justa
EV -0.646%
Vantagem -0.212%
Kelly -0.315%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.11%32.48%32.56%33.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.872.853.0540.00%34.88%35.09%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.46%4.26odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.348%
Kelly -0.457%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.18%23.44%23.43%24.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.69%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 43.96%; Dalian Yingbo (Visitante): 32.58%; Empate: 23.46%. Para Dalian Yingbo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.07. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.05, com valor esperado de -0.646%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.53%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.17%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.29%EV -3.11%E -0.752%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:45
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:45
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 11:39
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.63%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -2.93%E -0.982%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.78%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 15:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:39
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.30%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:32
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:34
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:45
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 11:49
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:49
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:49
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:45
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -8.56%E -4.11%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:34
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:53
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:53
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 11:39
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 11:50
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 11:49
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.07%E -6.04%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.07%E -6.04%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 11:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.55%EV -14.27%E -7.32%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.11%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-12 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -15.15%E -7.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -15.15%E -7.85%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.12%EV -16.03%E -8.39%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.71%EV -18.56%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.18%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%18.7%2026-08-15 11:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%1.0%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:49
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-08-15 11:45